Wednesday, 23rd April 2008 at 5:00 pm

therandtoday175.jpgWhat a shocker! South Africa’s CPIX rate went into double digits for the first time since 2003, with a shock rise to 10.1% in March from 9.4% in February. It is now almost certain that the Reserve Bank will hike interest rates again in June in order to try halt the inflation which seems to galloping away into the sunset. One wonders how the Central Bank feels now seeing inflation at 10.1% after they have been trying to keep inflation between 3 - 6%. It seems like a long way away now to get the inflation down from double digits to the 6% mark. This is the 12th month running that the CPIX has been outside the banks target range.

It is really no surprise that the inflation has gone up but most of us did not expect it to have gone up by this much. Prior to the announcement today a Reuters poll forecast CPIX would rise to 9,7% year-on-year. If one looks closely at it, the main driver behind this huge increase in inflation must be the rising prices of food and fuel. And it looks like this is only the beginning of more torrid times ahead. If Eskom get the go ahead to increase the electricity tariffs by their proposed 60% instead of the 14.2% they had been granted then inflation will certainly continue to go up. Some suggest that inflation could get as high as 11.4% if Eskom get the 60% increase.

Another interest hike would be bad news for the man on the street. There is surely no way one can afford to save now with the ever rising rates of inflation and interest rates. We should not forget that although we are going through these hard times in South Africa right now, the world market in general is also going through a rather bad patch and we are just getting caught up amongst all of it.

Gone are the days when one could walk into a supermarket with R100 and come out with quiet a number of groceries. Today if you are to walk into a supermarket with R100 you would be very lucky to even request to get a plastic bag as what you buy will not be that much!

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Comments

Samuel M on 23 April, 2008 at 5:08 pm #

Isn’t this how it all started in Zimbabwe……


Mad Man on 23 April, 2008 at 5:25 pm #

This is getting out of hand! Watch eskom get their hike and then we screwed. we so much in debt already that its scary.


Banker on 23 April, 2008 at 7:49 pm #

The Zar has been quite strong og late although there are some substantial social and economic troubles in SA. Do you think it continues ?

Banker


usa stock market on 24 April, 2008 at 4:47 am #

great site


Property South Africa on 24 April, 2008 at 8:33 am #

Gooda Article but it’s not all doom and gloom and no South Africa is not in financial trouble…

The thing is it’s a global trend. Of all the world’s economies that are taking a knock at the moment, South Africa is one of the few “growing” economies still through these troubled times.

The only reason we’ve felt such a knock is because of our electricity situation, but that’s being sorted out! We’re on the up. Property markets have slowed down and daily living costs have gone up, but trust me, go live in Europe for a year and see if you can live the lifestyle we have here.

Just my thoughts.


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